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Setting the play-off picture

With only three weeks of play remaining Toronto FC has a tough road to the play offs. Despite the must win situation, the schedule doesn’t make it any easier for our opponents, here are what the final fixtures look like for remainder of the MLS season:

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Toronto FC 31pts
• @ FC Dallas
• Vs Chicago
• @ San Jose
We need 9 points, plain and simple. Perhaps we can go forward with 7, but seeing as how tight the pack is coupled with our -8 goal differential, I’m assuming 3 wins is what we need and nothing less

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New York 36pts
• Vs Columbus
• @ Chicago
Hosting the #1 and then traveling to Toyota Park spells an early end to the drink’s season
Chances: Unlikely

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Kansas City 33 pts
• Vs New England
• Vs San Jose
• @ New England
Tough schedule with two NE match ups and surging San Jose is no push over either. KC needs 2 wins and a draw to hit the magic 40 point mark
Chances: Unlikely

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DC United 33pts
• @ Houston
• Vs New England
• @ Columbus
Houston have only lost once at home this season so even if DCU gets a point, they’ll still need 6 more against NE and C-bus
Chances: Unlikely

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Real Salt Lake 36pts
• Vs FC Dallas
• @ Colorado
A win in either game could see RSL through to the play offs given the west is battling for the 3rd see as well as the wild cards
Chances: Somewhat good

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Colorado 34pts
• @ Los Angeles
• @ Chivas
• Vs Real Salt Lake
Having hit their stride lately with victories over Chicago and NY, the Rapids should take 3 from LA which moves them into the driver’s seat for the final two matches
Chances: Good

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FC Dallas 34pts
• Vs Toronto FC
• @ Real Salt Lake
• @ Los Angeles
Assuming a loss to Toronto, FCD will need at least 4 on the road. Hopefully Cunny reverts to his old form
Chances: Somewhat good

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San Jose 30pts
• Vs Chivas
• @ Houston
• @ Kansas City
• Vs Toronto FC
Hard schedule trumps the game in hand, assuming we take 3 points on the road you can count San Jose out
Chances: Slim at best

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Los Angeles 29pts
• Vs Colorado
• @ Houston
• Vs FC Dallas
LA needs to run the table without the help of Beckham and Donovan due to international call ups. Even if they pull it off, it still might not be enough
Chances: Nil

Disagree?  Share you’re thoughts, all comments are welcome!

1 Comment so far

  1. tfcconnected October 11th, 2008 10:09 am

    Well written analysis. Dallas, Colorado, and Salt Lake should be an interesting dog fight for the final spots in the West, meanwhile it will be interesting to see if Kansas City, Toronto, or DC United will be able to catch New York - who, as you pointed out, will likely lose its last two.

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